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Intrade, etc. update

September 30th, 2008 @ 10:17 am - by lotus · 7 Comments

The look of things sure has changed over at Intrade:

Obama $62.90 up $1.90

McCain $37.50 down 60¢

Electoral vote projection 338 Obama, 200 McCain

In commentary posted there yesterday (headlined “Landslide?”), Max Keiser warned, “If McCain breaks through resistance at 40, watch out 30!” Welp . . .

He also noted,

After much drama, John McCain, indeed, decided to show up at the first Presidential debate after all. Good thing he did because the pundits loved his performance:

Politico’s Roger Simon declared, “The Mac is Back.”

John McCain was very lucky that he decided to show up for the first presidential debate in Oxford, Miss., Friday night. Because he gave one of his strongest debate performances ever.

While the pundits loved McCain, the markets were puking him up. …

But guess what. Says TPM:

On Fox they were virtually begging him to “suspend” his campaign again in the wake of the bailout failure yesterday on the Hill. You know, since it worked out so well the first time. McCain’s answer: He just might suspend again.

TPM’s got the tape — and two fresh polls: As of today, Research 2000 has it Obama 51%, McCain 41% and Rasmussen Obama 51%, McCain 45%.

Filed Under: Herald & Examiner

7 Responses so far ↓

  1. lotus says:

    Anecdotal evidence from Juanita Jean:

    September 29 – Okay, I have some interesting numbers for you that were given to me yesterday.
    At the March primary this year, Fort Bend County had 245,414 voters. Last numbers I saw, we had 289,000 voters. That’s an increase of 43,500 voters. These is either first time or new voters to the county.
    Look at it this way, almost a fifth of the voters in Fort Bend County this November will be either first time or new voters. That’s unbelievable.
    Something is happening that the polls aren’t showing. I’m convinced of it.
    One other thing, Colorado County – just north of here and very rural – went in with us to buy Obama yard signs so we could get a better price on them. Less than a week later, they called and asked if they could get more.
    Colorado County. Obama signs. I keep thinking I just dreamed that. I didn’t.

  2. NMC says:

    I’m seeing a lot of very similar anecdotal evidence but I can’t help but believe I live in a kind of bubble here in Oxford.

  3. confounded says:

    What state are those counties in, Lotus/

  4. lotus says:

    TEXAS, confounded.

  5. NMC says:

    They’re near Houston, aren’t they– isn’t one in DeLay’s old district?

  6. lotus says:

    Yep, Fort Bend is. Just west of Houston.

  7. lotus says:

    Today’s been active at Intrade. Now it’s

    Obama $64.10 up $3.10

    McCain $35.70 down $2.40